Staying afloat: the impact of flooding on UK firms

Benjamin Crampton, Rupert-Hu Gilman and Rebecca Mari.

With climate change set to increase the frequency and intensity of flooding in the UK, it is important to deepen our understanding of the potential microeconomic impacts that may propagate into the macroeconomy. We integrate firm-level corporate records, with Ordnance Survey business-premise address information and publicly available flood maps to investigate two questions. First, what characteristics of firms are associated to the historical exposure and current risk of flooding; and second, what is the impact of flood events on corporate outcomes. We find significant sectoral, spatial and structural heterogeneity among firms in their risk and exposure to flooding. Larger firms are more likely to locate in flood zones, while small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and natural-resource-related industries have historically been impacted most heavily.

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Flow of funds and the UK real economy

Laura Achiro, Gerry Gunner and Neha Bora

A flow of funds framework is a way of understanding and tracking the movement of financial assets between different sectors of the economy. This blog specifically analyses UK corporate and household sectoral flows from 2000 to the present and highlights how this framework can reveal useful trends and signals for policymakers about the real economy. For instance, the accumulation of debt in the pre-global financial crisis (GFC) era by households and corporates was a warning signal that indicated several potential risks and vulnerabilities in the economy, including overleveraging and asset price inflation.

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