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Double trouble? How closely related are the UK’s ‘twin’ deficits and should we be concerned?

Lauren Bowers.

Since the financial crisis the UK’s fiscal and current account balances have persistently been in deficit. These ‘twin’ deficits are significant in historical terms, with a record peacetime fiscal deficit in 2009 and a record current account deficit in 2015. But how closely related are these ‘twins’ and do they pose a risk to financial stability? Using a new ‘from-whom-to-whom’ dataset I find that the two deficits are not directly related to each other and are being financed through relatively stable channels.

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BankUnderground Financial Stability, International Economics, Macroeconomics, New Methodologies 1 Comment 13/10/201612/10/2016 6 Minutes
Bank Underground is a blog for Bank of England staff to share views that challenge – or support – prevailing policy orthodoxies. The views expressed here are those of the authors, and are not necessarily those of the Bank of England or its policy committees.

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