Rolling substitutions in financial markets: did quantitative easing in 2020 lead to portfolio rebalancing?

Jack Worlidge

Purchases of government bonds have been a prominent tool that has helped central banks meet inflation objectives when short-term interest rates have been constrained by their effective lower bounds. But how does QE work? There are a range of channels through which QE can/might operate, though there remains uncertainty over the relative size and importance of these channels. This post presents new evidence from granular transaction data consistent with a portfolio rebalancing channel. Specifically, during the Bank’s latest QE programme (known as QE5) investors were found to have bought less new gilt issuance and bought more risky assets like corporate bonds.

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Modelling banking sector shocks and unconventional policy: new wine in old bottles?

James Cloyne, Ryland Thomas and Alex Tuckett.

The financial crisis has thrown up a huge number of empirical challenges for academic and professional economists.  The search is on for a framework with a rich enough variety of financial and real variables to examine both the financial shocks that caused the Great Recession and the unconventional policies, such as Quantitative Easing (QE), that were designed to combat it.   In a new paper we show how using an older structural econometric modelling approach can be used to provide insights into these questions in ways other models currently cannot.  So what are the advantages of going back to an older tradition of modelling?
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