Lennart Brandt, Natalie Burr and Krisztian Gado
The Bank of England has a 2% annual inflation rate target in the ONS’ consumer prices index. But looking at its 700 item categories, we find that very few prices ever change by 2%. In fact, on a month-on-month basis, only about one fifth of prices change at all. Instead, we observe what economists call ‘sticky prices’: the price of an item will remain fixed for an extended amount of time and then adjust in one large step. We document the time-varying nature of stickiness by looking at the share of price changes and their distribution in the UK microdata. We find a visible discontinuity in price-setting in the first quarter of 2022, which has only partially unwound.
Continue reading “Beyond the average: patterns in UK price data at the micro level”