Some implications of climate policy for monetary policy

Francesca Diluiso, Boromeus Wanengkirtyo and Jenny Chan.

This post examines key aspects of climate mitigation policies that could matter for monetary policy, using insights from structural climate macroeconomic models (Environmental Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium). Three main findings emerge: first, mitigation policies – like carbon pricing – can be a direct source of shocks, creating potential trade-offs for monetary policy (Carney (2017)). Second, the degree to which these policies are anticipated affects their macroeconomic impacts. Third, different climate policies may alter the transmission of conventional business-cycle shocks, therefore affecting the calibration of optimal monetary policy. We focus on the 3–5 year horizon, abstracting from longer-run considerations and changing trends such as interactions with the zero lower bound, the natural interest rate, or transitional effects on productivity and output.

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International spillovers from climate policy

Francesca Diluiso and Aydan Dogan

To achieve the emissions reduction targets outlined in The Paris Agreement, many economies have started implementing various types of climate policies. These policies, which include subsidies for green production or investment, carbon taxes, and cap and trade schemes, are crucial for guiding the transition to a greener economy. However, by altering the cost and the emission intensity of domestically produced goods, they may have an impact on inflation, output, and international trade flows. This blog post explores the spillover effects due to the implementation of climate policy in a single country. We examine two major types of policies currently implemented and discussed worldwide: green subsidies and carbon taxes.

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