Could digitalisation of finance lead to more disruptive international capital flows?

Simon Whitaker

Digital currencies and the tokenisation of financial assets could speed up the movement of money and assets between institutions and across borders. Historically, the liberalisation of capital flows led to debates about the impact on macroeconomic and financial stability. Bouts of instability – for example the 2008 global financial crisis – provoked calls to put ‘sand in the wheels’ of financial markets. In this blog I argue there is no reason why lubricating capital flows through digitalisation should herald a new era of financial instability. But the architecture of the global financial safety net may need to evolve to contain risks to the international monetary and financial system.

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Weathering the storm: the economic impact of floods and the role of adaptation

Rebecca Mari and Matteo Ficarra.

Floods are the most costly natural disaster in Europe. In the UK, they account for around GBP1.4 billion in annual losses. Yet, evidence on the macroeconomic implications is inconclusive. GDP often shows a puzzling delayed response, and prices can be pushed in opposite directions. Using a novel county level data set for England for the years 1998–2021, we estimate the impact of flooding on output and inflation at the sector level. Sectors react heterogeneously to floods, which explains well aggregate evidence. Prices respond in sectors related to both headline and core inflation, which has crucial implications for monetary policy. We further show that investing in flood defences mitigates the economic burden of floods by strongly reducing the risk of flooding.

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With the arrival of stablecoins, is it time to pay farewell to traditional payment rails?

Aly Soliman

Stablecoins have emerged as an innovative form of money in the financial landscape. While they represent a small fraction of the global financial system, stablecoins have grown by US$30 billion in the last few months (as reported on DefiLlama). The potential effect of stablecoins on the payment industry could be substantial and merits attention.

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New money, old money

David Rule and Iain de Weymarn

Technologies such as distributed ledgers create the possibility of new forms of digital money, whether privately-issued ‘stable coins’, tokenised commercial bank deposits, or central bank digital currencies. Authorities are considering a world where digital money circulates alongside existing forms of money. In the past, the nature of money has often changed. Prior to the late-seventeenth century, English money comprised predominantly silver coin and in the subsequent two centuries mainly gold coin, before evolving to include paper banknotes and bank accounts linked to card, internet and app-based payment systems.  But what can a previous period when money changed – 1695–97, when paper money first began to circulate alongside coin – tell us about the possible transition to digital money? 

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